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New QB Stat: Adjusted Passer Rating (Preliminary)

There are many ways to grade QB’s performances. Some use statistics, others use wins and intangibles. Each of these have their flaws, of course. Using just stats is flawed, because basic QB stats or even advanced QB stats (passer rating, EPA, etc.) don’t tell us anything about the teammates they are playing with and how […]

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge Quarterbacks in the Regular Season and Postseason Combined Part 3

This is total value record differentials for quarterbacks that played mostly in the 1960s and 1970s. The concept of taking such an approach originated from a Bleacher Report article years ago. The Bleacher Report article referenced a Pro-Football Reference article that not only was the source of the original calculations, but also had the average

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge Quarterbacks in the Regular Season and Postseason Combined Part 2

This is total value record differentials for quarterbacks that played mostly in the 1980s and 1990s. The concept of taking such an approach originated from a Bleacher Report article years ago. The Bleacher Report article referenced a Pro-Football Reference article that not only was the source of the original calculations, but also had the average

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 10

The is the win record differentials for many long term starters that played their career in the 1970s and 1980s. Roger Staubach Seasons Teams Record Projected +/- Context 1969 DAL 1-0 0.94-0.06 0.06 was the backup, had head coach Tom Landry for his whole career in Dallas 1970 DAL 2-1 2.40-0.60 -0.40 was the backup,

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 8

The is the win record differentials for many long term starters that came into the league in the late 1980s/early 1990s and played a lot of their careers in the 1990s. Brett Favre Seasons Teams Record Projected +/- Context 1991 ATL 0-0 0-0 0 on the bench, had defensive minded head coach Jerry Glanville 1992

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 7

The is the win record differentials for many long term starters that came into the league in 1980s. Dan Marino Seasons Teams Record Projected +/- Context 1983 MIA 7-2 5.77-3.23 1.23 C Stephenson made all-pros from 1983- 1987, G Kuechenberg made a pro bowl, WR Duper made a pro bowl, G Newman made an all-pro.

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge Quarterbacks in the Regular Season and Postseason Combined

The goal here is to assess proper credit for how a quarterback is impacting winning on his team. This is done by finding out how many games the team would have won with an average quarterback and then seeing whether the quarterback specifically analyzed won as much, more, or even less than what the average

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 6

This is the win record differential for many long term starters that came into the league in the early to late 2010s and very early 2020s. Patrick Mahomes Seasons Teams Record Projected +/- Context 2017 KC 1-0 0.388-0.612 0.61 not yet a fulltime starter, on the bench, had offensive minded head coach Andy Reid for

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 5

This is the win record differential for many long term starters that came into the league in the early to mid 2010s. Russel WIlson Seasons Teams Record Projected +/- Context 2012 SEA 11-5 10.19-5.81 0.81 T Okung made a pro bowl. RB Lynch and C Unger made all pros. 4 game winning drives despite average

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 4

This is the win record differential for many long term starters that came into the league in the mid to late 2000s and early 2010s. Alex Smith Seasons Teams Record Projected +/- Context 2005 SF 2-5 2.62-4.38 -0.62 2006 SF 7-9 5.98-10.02 1.02 Norv Turner replaced Mike McCarthy as OC, G Larry Allen and RB

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 3

This is the win record differential for many long term starters that came into the league in the early-mid 2000s (specifically 2003 and 2004). Ben Roethlisberger Season Team Record Projected +/- Context 2004 PIT 13-0 9.03-3.97 3.97 5 gw drives, RB Bettis and LT Marvel Smith made pro bowls. WR Ward, G Faneca, and C

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We Discovered the Best Way to Judge a QB in the Regular Season Part 2

This is the win record differential for many long term starters that came into the league in the early 2000s or at least became starters in the early 2000s. Donovan McNabb Season Team Record Projected +/- Context 1999 PHI 1-5 1.82-4.18 -0.82 had offensive minded coach Andy Reid for the whole time in the Eagles

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